Mehmet Emre Tiryaki
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Brownian Motion

Variation

For a partition Π={t0=0<t1<⋯<tn=T}\Pi = \{t_0 = 0 < t_1 < \cdots < t_n = T\} with mesh ∥Π∥=max⁡j(tj+1−tj)\|\Pi\| = \max_j (t_{j+1} - t_j), the first variation and quadratic variation of ff on [0,T][0, T] are

FVT(f)=lim⁡∥Π∥→0∑j=0n−1∣f(tj+1)−f(tj)∣,[f,f](T)=lim⁡∥Π∥→0∑j=0n−1(f(tj+1)−f(tj))2FV_T(f) = \lim_{\|\Pi\| \to 0} \sum_{j=0}^{n-1} |f(t_{j+1}) - f(t_j)|, \qquad [f, f](T) = \lim_{\|\Pi\| \to 0} \sum_{j=0}^{n-1} \big(f(t_{j+1}) - f(t_j)\big)^2

If the first variation of gg is bounded, ∫abf dg\int_a^b f\, dg is defined.

If ff is differentiable, FVT(f)=∫0T∣f′(t)∣ dtFV_T(f) = \int_0^T |f'(t)|\, dt.

Random Walks

Symmetric random walk With coin tosses ωj\omega_j, Xj=1X_j = 1 if ωj=H\omega_j = H and −1-1 if ωj=T\omega_j = T, M0=0M_0 = 0 and Mk=∑j=1kXjM_k = \sum_{j=1}^k X_j. The increments Ml−Mk=∑j=k+1lXjM_l - M_k = \sum_{j=k+1}^l X_j over disjoint intervals are independent, with mean 0 and variance l−kl - k, and [M,M]k=∑j=1k(Mj−Mj−1)2=k[M, M]_k = \sum_{j=1}^k (M_j - M_{j-1})^2 = k.

Scaled symmetric random walk W(n)(t)=1nMntW^{(n)}(t) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}M_{nt} (for ntnt an integer). Each step is ±1n\pm\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}, so

[W(n),W(n)](t)=∑j=1nt[W(n)(jn)−W(n)(j−1n)]2=∑j=1nt(±1n)2=t[W^{(n)}, W^{(n)}](t) = \sum_{j=1}^{nt}\Big[ W^{(n)}\Big(\frac{j}{n}\Big) - W^{(n)}\Big(\frac{j - 1}{n}\Big) \Big]^2 = \sum_{j=1}^{nt}\Big( \frac{\pm 1}{\sqrt{n}} \Big)^2 = t

and as n→∞n \to \infty, W(n)(t)−W(n)(s)→N(0,t−s)W^{(n)}(t) - W^{(n)}(s) \to \mathcal{N}(0, t - s) in distribution.

Brownian Motion

W(t)W(t), t≥0t \ge 0, is a Brownian motion if for each ω\omega the path t↦W(t)t \mapsto W(t) is continuous with W(0)=0W(0) = 0, and for 0=t0<t1<⋯<tm0 = t_0 < t_1 < \cdots < t_m the increments W(ti+1)−W(ti)W(t_{i+1}) - W(t_i) are independent and N(0,ti+1−ti)\mathcal{N}(0, t_{i+1} - t_i).

A filtration for Brownian motion is (Ft)t≥0(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \ge 0} with

  • Fs⊆Ft\mathcal{F}_s \subseteq \mathcal{F}_t for s≤ts \le t,
  • W(t)W(t) is Ft\mathcal{F}_t-measurable (adapted),
  • W(u)−W(t)W(u) - W(t) is independent of Ft\mathcal{F}_t for 0≤t<u0 \le t < u (independent future increments).

Properties

  • WW is a martingale and a Markov process.
  • Its paths are almost surely nowhere differentiable.
  • [W,W](T)=T[W, W](T) = T almost surely (the sums converge in L2L^2).
  • In differential form, dW dW=dtdW\, dW = dt, dW dt=0dW\, dt = 0, dt dt=0dt\, dt = 0.

Exponential Martingale and Geometric Brownian Motion

If X∼N(μ,σ2)X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu, \sigma^2) then eXe^X is log-normal with E[eX]=eμ+σ2/2E[e^X] = e^{\mu + \sigma^2/2}. Hence

Z(t)=exp⁡(σW(t)−12σ2t)Z(t) = \exp\left(\sigma W(t) - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2 t\right)

is a martingale (the exponential martingale). Geometric Brownian motion

S(t)=S(0)exp⁡((μ−σ22)t+σW(t))S(t) = S(0)\exp\left(\Big(\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}\Big)t + \sigma W(t)\right)

solves dS=μS dt+σS dWdS = \mu S\, dt + \sigma S\, dW, has d(log⁡S)=(μ−σ22) dt+σ dWd(\log S) = (\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2})\, dt + \sigma\, dW, E[S(t)]=S(0)eμtE[S(t)] = S(0)e^{\mu t}, and e−μtS(t)e^{-\mu t}S(t) is a martingale.

Reflection Principle

For B>0B > 0,

P(max⁡0≤t≤TW(t)≥B)=2 P(W(T)≥B)=2N(−BT)\mathbb{P}\Big(\max_{0 \le t \le T} W(t) \ge B\Big) = 2\,\mathbb{P}\big(W(T) \ge B\big) = 2N\left(-\frac{B}{\sqrt{T}}\right)

where NN is the standard normal CDF.